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  • Writer's pictureRob Bowron @Beta_Rank_FB

Bowl Season Week IV: The Penultimate

Season to date (92-33) Straight Up (67-50)* Against the Spread

The Beta_Rank Matchup Tool

Monday January, 6th

The Lendingtree Bowl

#28 Louisiana (10-3) vs. #113 Miami (OH) (8-5)

4:30am PT, ESPN

Line: Louisiana -14.0

Beta_Rank Win Prob: Tulane 97%

Beta_Rank Line: Tulane -24.83 (DO NOT GAMBLE)

Beta_Rank Breakdown

Rob: The MAC had some better teams this season, but Miami and Central Michigan met in the championship. Miami was +4 on turnovers in their matchup against Buffalo, +2 against Ohio, +1 against Central Michigan. When they played better teams and won they got some turnovers. They will need it here, because the Cajuns are for real. They come in with the #19 offense and #12/#76 run/pass split. It is somewhat worrying that they are run heavy given how run heavy offenses have under-performed this bowl season, but the Red Hawks are at #71 with an #86/#58 split so it may not matter. On the other side of the ball Miami comes in at #125 with a #99/#110 split. The Cajuns are a solid G5 defense at #56 with a #59/#49 split. It's not going to be close without turnovers or serious bowl weirdness.

Louisiana 42 Miami 20

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